Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 11.234069 13.170103 15.295197 17.794868 20.648292 23.797427 27.529291
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 8.657200 11.264659 14.389238 18.383802 23.326620 29.211873 36.716291
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.798857 9.682578 13.407455 18.513708 25.264665 33.809657 45.356371
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.495672 8.478806 12.593995 18.584909 26.962351 38.120594 53.935111
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.342240 7.222390 11.445972 17.942622 27.498549 40.816956 60.501388
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.635639 6.470536 10.860567 17.948026 28.840526 44.623470 68.795175
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.076064 5.835053 10.330483 17.919179 30.057593 48.273024 77.070884
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.813530 5.640459 10.452550 18.889884 32.847395 54.413643 89.417426
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.555748 5.404165 10.460013 19.648998 35.337295 60.246015 101.669595
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.350915 5.227048 10.535809 20.510993 38.042394 66.576029 115.084339
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.054525 4.818617 10.135680 20.480284 39.215589 70.496687 124.887501
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.721670 4.273957 9.402262 19.749152 39.081090 72.216211 131.172476
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.441262 3.794552 8.739287 19.091367 39.048876 74.164811 138.090501
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.278786 3.548496 8.510512 19.241411 40.501661 78.767341 149.809566
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.121739 3.283825 8.203681 19.194696 41.568629 82.749470 160.692999
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.990116 3.054654 7.939135 19.198281 42.720217 86.944292 172.189060
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.831074 2.719079 7.383218 18.511230 42.426467 88.438327 178.891788
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.735950 2.535963 7.154166 18.506754 43.506217 92.561754 190.627684
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.651478 2.364089 6.925751 18.473259 44.513217 96.596727 202.413098
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.626718 2.366057 7.132607 19.468760 47.786903 105.240597 223.378389
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.592978 2.333025 7.244204 20.247695 50.647288 113.227845 243.489497
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.565729 2.315366 7.393810 21.132515 53.805700 121.987807 265.534285
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.505392 2.172730 7.183037 21.100891 54.900999 126.613121 279.692743